Indian History Trivia (3): A "Nation-in-Making"

As everyone knows now, in August 1947, we became citizens of the Independent India.

At the time of independence, however, such a statement had an "operational"/ etymological problem in terms of interpretation, viz.,

what is "Independent India"?

The appreciate the import of this point, one must look at the findings of a 1957 survey that Jamia Milia University had conducted in 150 villages in the four northern states. The findings:

10% people did not know that British did not rule the country anymore!

about 17-18% did not know the name of their country (Oh, yes, they knew about "Bharat", since they had heard the slogans, "Bharat Mata Ki Jai" (Victory to Mother India), but they were not aware who or what "Bharat" was).

And this was 10 years after the independence!!...

So how does a nation become independent, when some of its own populace are not even aware of this fact? And how does a nation become a nation, when some of its inhabitant do not even know its name?

60 years later, now, it is difficult to imagine the challenge it must have been to create a national identity, out of what, at that time, must have been a patchwork collage.

For instance:

Here, we had a "country" which was the birthplace of four major world religions (Hinduism, Jainism, Sikhism and Buddhism), had the 2nd or 3rd largest Muslim population in the world, inhabited also by ethnic strains of virtually all origins. From the point of view of the common cultural moorings, even these broad categories had their own shades of differences: the "hindu" of the north had very little in common in culture with the "hindu" of south, or the muslims of kerala (who came as traders via the sea route and got assimilated in the local community) had few commonalities with muslims of the north (who came as "invaders").... Thankfully, this diversity of India has still not changed... which is the charm of India ;0).

in the beginning, there was also not just one common currency in circulation. There was the Indian Rupee, which was introduced by the British government in its ruled territory around 1915-1917. However, independence also brought the princely states into the fold of "India" - and along with them other currencies, such as the Hyderabad Rupee, Travencore Rupee, the Kutch Kori, the French India Rupee, etc... Since it takes money to print money (or make coins), many of these currencies remained in use for many years after independence, before they could be phased out.

Perhaps, the major challenge was, how to communicate to - and integrate into a single identity - a country which had no common "national language" that everyone understands. Even at that time, the Indian Constitution recognised 14 scheduled "official" languages (grown to 22 now) and a few hundred dialect... India resembled (and still does;) the Tower of Babel - the 1961 census actually reported 1549 "mother toungues"!!!

Hindi was proposed to be the national language, but more than half of India did not understand Hindi (and still does not). The recommendation got postponed till 1965 due to protest from the southern India - an issue that has not been resolved... Even now, only 30-40% of Indian population understand Hindi (and barely 30mn out of a population of more than 1bn speak/understand English)... So we continue with a pragmatic "twin language" system.

To make things more complicated, there were hardly any "communication channels" which could connect one across different segments and people, for instance, even by mid-50s:

Radio: There were just 1.5mn radios in the country with a population of nearly 400mn. Govt of India had started a scheme of providing "community radios" to villages, but there were just 40,000 such community radios for a country of more than 500,000 viallages. In any case, radios required electricity, and there were just 37,000 towns and villages which had electricity. So the radios worked on batteries, and when the batteries would run down, one had to get them from the district headquarters. Needless the say, there was no repair facility in the villages...

Newspapers: The overall circualation of all newspapers (English and vernacular) was just around 3mn. Most of them were available in big cities and towns... In any case, given the overall 18% literacy rate, that was hardly a medium to communicate to people...

Meetings and Personal Contacts: 80% of India lived in places that were at least 20miles away from any motorable road... (some of the unsung heros in the making of India were a lot called the Village Level Workers. As a part of the Govt of India's Community Development programme, these thousands and thousands of young people spread across the remote villages of the country, lived there, and coached/coaxed the villagers on issues ranging from basic hygeine, adult literacy, to enfranchise, better ways of farming, etc.)...
etc. etc...

In an article written in 1959 in the Atlantic Monthly, journalist Arthur Bonner described an incident, that perhaps examplifies the "connectivity" (or the lack of it) in India at that time...

"I stopped at a post office and saw, in a corner, a short spear with two little bells attached to the shaft near the head. I recognized it, from descriptions in books, as a spear carried by dak (mail) runners. I thought it was a relic of the days when the mail was delivered by runners who needed the spear to protect themselves from robbers and wild animals and who carried the bells just to keep up their courage as they jogged along jungle trails. But the postmaster assured me that he still delivered some of his mail by runners who took three days going out along one route and three days coming back by another."

So isn't is a miracle of sorts, that now we have something called "India"?... which we can describe and dentify tangibly, recognise as a defined entity, feel happy/peeved about, pass judgements upon, or eulogise, its previous stakeholders, etc...

...and to conclude, an episode that happened just about 10 years back:

"In 1996, on 15th August, the Independence Day, the 9th Indian Prime Minister, HP Deve Gowda stood up and delivered the traditional Independence Day Address to the Nation from the Red Fort. Like his previous eight predecessors in previous 49 years, he delivered this traditional speech in the "national" language – Hindi.

There was a change, though - Deve Gowda hailed from Karnataka, and did not know either Hindi or English – and so, his Hindi speech had to be written in his native Kannada script... and was telecasted across the nation.

I mean, where else in the world - but in India - can the Chief Executive of a nation make a speech in a language that he does not understand, addressing an audience of whom more than 60% also do not know that language!!!

...More than a century back, during the freedom struggle, justice Ranade had described India as a "Nation-in-Making"... In many ways, we remain a nation-in-making.. even now!!!...

Indian History Trivia (2): The Foundations of "Nehruvian Socialism"

Continuing from the previous post, here is one more trivia:

Teaching in a B-School has an advantage of getting exposed to curious gaps in information... and the time/luxury to follow-up to find the missing parts.

Over a period of years, one such gap I found was about the industrial/economic model that India adapted after independence in 1947 - often derided as the "Nehruvian Socialism" that kept India isolated and "dis-enfranchised" from the global economy.

What was the "gap"?

The Industrial Policy Resolution, which architected the Socialist Model of pre-91 Indian Economy (government monopoly over core sectors, reservation/protection over other sectors, etc.) was passed in 1948 (and ratified in 1956)...

...but the first Indian Parliament got elected only in 1952 elections!!!

The missing piece of the jigsaw puzzle was: So who governed - and decided the destiny of the nation - during the intervening 1947-1952? And who designed and approved this, nowadays much maligned, economic model?

When India got independence in August 1947, it did not have a constitution, and had no fully elected parliament. But it did have a representative body - the Constituent Assembly, whose task was to give India its constitution, and to lay down the basic policy framework.

The Constituent Assembly was the first "parliament" of India, consisting of 389 representatives - 296 of which were elected in an election held during 1946, and another 93 who were represntatitives of the Princely States. The Indian National Congress had got a decisive majority in the elections, winning close to 220 elected seats, and Nehru was elected the interim Prime Minister.

The Industrial Policy Resolution, 1948, which adapted the "socialist pattern of society as objective of the social and economic policies" was created and passed during this time. It layed the template of the economic model India was to follow in the coming decades. Among other things. It included the proposal for:

Government's monopoly over production of arms and ammunition, atomic energy, and ownership and management of railway transport.

Government's control over and participation in the core industries vital to country's development, e.g., Coal, Iron and Steel, Aircraft manufacture, Shipbuilding, production of telephone, electricity, telegraph and wireless apparatus, etc. This laid the blueprint of the public sector units.

Government's right to regulate iudustries such as Salt, Automobiles and tractors, Machine tools, Heavy chemicals, Fertilizers and pharmaceuticals and drugs, Cement, Sugar, etc.

Government's right to nationalise certain industries, if so required in public interest

Reservations/protections for some industries in which large private players could not enter.. etc.

Surprisingly, however, this policy framework was not the handiwork of Nehru (even though he agreed with it), or even of any Congress party member.

For all his ideological leanings (and critics), Nehru was, and remained, "inclusive" in his approach to governance. In spite of the overwhelming majority of the Congress party, his 14-member cabinet of ministers in the Constituent Assembly had 5 invited non-Congress members.

One of them was a brilliant young nationalist leader and scholar, Dr Shyama Prasad Mukherjee. He had been the youngest Vice-Chanceller of Calcutta University at the age 33, and commanded a high credibity as the President of the Hindu Mahasabha.

In Nehru's cabinet, Dr Shyama Prasad Mukherjee was the Union Minister of Industry and Supply - and the brain behind India's "socialist" industrial policy.

Nehru and Mukherjee, however, had major ideological differences over India's policies towards the newly-formed Pakistan, and in 1950 Dr Mukherjee resigned from Nehru's cabinet over these disagreements. He went ahead and founded the Bhartiya Jana Sangh party (now evolved into the current Bhartiya Janta Party) in 1951, and became its first president. One of his ardent admirers and disciple, Atal Bihari Vajpayee, later became the Prime Minister of India in the 90s...

In 1953, Dr Shyama Prsad Mukherjee was arrested in Srinagar while agitating for Hindu rights in Kashmir, and died under "mysterious circumstances" while in detention at an early age of 47...

That time and era, along with its major players and actors, is over and gone. But one nondescript anamolous footnote in the history of modern India will remain: The foundations of "Nehruvian Socialistic Model of Economic Development" were laid by one his bitterest critics, and the founder of a party which opposed this model, the Bhartiya Jana Sangh/BJP!!!

[Postcript: What was Nehru's own stand on the public and private sectors? In 1956, when the India's Industrial Policy Resolution was ratified by the parliament, Nehru said: "I think it is advantageous for the public sector to have a competitive private sector to keep it up to the mark... I feel that, if the private sector... is abolished completely, there is a risk of the public sector becoming slow, not having that urge and push behind it."

Indian History Trivia (1): The Story of Junagadh

[NOTE:The reason for this post (and hopefully, some more to come):

... as history moves, many insightfully delightful trivia of history get buried under a simplified black-n-white version of the historical experience.

The popularity of the simplified version is because it is uncomplicated and clearly distinguishes the "good" from the "bad" - and therefore, is very convenient for the MSM and the 0/1-binary thinkers (which inhabit the MSM, ideologue community and even the blogosphere).

History, on the other hand, is primarily amoral, and has a tendency of punching holes in the contemporary zeitgeist...

So here goes the "first installment" of this series - based on "facts" as I know them: just a story often not told/known... and no ideological implications:]

While we often say that India got its independence from the British on August 15, 1947, actually, the British never ever ruled the entire India as we know it now - at least not technically.

There was one part which was the British India (Direct Rule), and there was the other part consisting of 562 Princely States, covering roughly 40% of land-mass of what we now call India (Indirect Rule). About 100+ of these Princely States were quite large, e.g., Travancore, Hyderabad, Baroda, Mysore, Kashmir, etc., while many were small "jagirdaris"...

While the British India was governed by the British Parliament, there was a separate political arrangements with the princes, and it came under something/somebody called "Chancellor of Indian Princes".

In early 1947, when England decided to free India, the British Parliament passed the Indian Independence Act (in June 1947, which marked the foundation of two separate nations - India and Pakistan).

However, this Act did not apply to the Princely States. The freedom to these states was given by a separate Cabinet Memorendum, which declared that the British Government will cease to have any political or defense arrangements ("Power of Paramountcy") with the Princely States. The memorendum was clear that the Princely States were free to decide to either join India or Pakistan before August 1947 - or devise their own sovereign political system for self-governance.

Most of the Princely States were small and decided to join either India or Pakistan before independence (in return for a promise that the government will maintain their Princely perquisites, which finally got abolished in 1970-71).

There were, however, three exceptions:

Hyderabad (which had a population of around 1.4cr, with a muslim Nizam and around 80% hindu population): the Nizam of Hyderabad either wanted to remain sovereign (and become a part of the British Commonwealth), or join Pakistan (which would have made an interesting map of Pakistan;)... Anyway, the state was annexed by India.

Kashmir (with a hindu Maharaja and a muslim majority in the population, and, to make thing more complicated, an adjoining borders with Pakistan): There is a confusion about whether the Maharaja of Kashmir, Hari Singh, ever signed the letter of accesion with India or not - he had not done that till India and Pakistan became independent in August 1947. Some records say that he wanted to be a part of India, but by then the situation had gone out of hand, and Indian army landed to curb the infilteration... etc. etc... but that remains a murky, messy situation... Even now!

...and Junagadh

Junagadh was an interesting case:

The Nawab of Junagadh was a muslim, with a large hindu population. Geographically, it was a peculiar piece of the jigsaw in what were to become the two nations of India and Pakistan. It was a state in erswhile Saurashtra, surrounded by the hindu Kathiawad regions (which had acceded to India) on three sides, and facing the Arabian Sea on the fourth.

The Nawab, however, decided to join Pakistan, which predictably did not go very well with the local populace, and they revolted. The neighbouring states also added to pressure by creating blckade ("chakka jam") to any grains, vegetables, or material from reaching Junagadh.

As the revolt grew, the Nawab fled to Pakistan along with his family, taking almost all state treasury with him, and leaving his Deewan (Prime Minister) to manage the affairs.

The Deewan of Junagadh did the best that he could have done to bring the situation to normalcy. The situation continued to worsen. The newly formed Pakistan was still dealing its own issues to extend help to a distant Junagadh... and finally the Deewan wrote to Jinnah that since Pakistan was not been able to help Junagadh, and the situation was worsening, he would be handing over Junagadh to Indian government - which he did around Octover 47, through a letter to the Regional Commisioner of Saurashtra, Mr Buch.

A few months later a plebicite was held in which more than 190,000 voted to be a part of India, while only 91 favoured to be a part of Pakistan (Pakistan contested the results, and Indian government upheld it... as one would have anticipated)

But here is the somewhat poetic twist to the story:

The Deewan of Junagadh was a person called Sir Shah Nawaz Bhutto. His son, Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, grew up to be the Prime Minister of Pakistan (was executed by Zia-hl-Haq in 1977)... And his grand-daughter, Benazir Bhutto served as the Prime Minister of Pakistan twice in the late 80s and the 90s.

India: A Nation in Debt?

A recent news item in The Times of India (April 18, 2006, Kolkata Edition) shares some interesting data about the growth of consumer debt in India, based on loans given by banks:

Between 1991 and 2005, the outstanding debt of and average Indian household increased more than 19-times - from Rs.675/- to Rs.13,000/-.

The overall consumer loans from banks increased more than 26-times, from Rs.9,599/-crore to Rs.2,58,583/-crores.

While the loans for consumer durables, grew only 3.75-times, the housing loans increased by more than 40-fold, from Rs.3,297/-crore (1991) to Rs.1,34,653/-crore (2005)... as the article points out, these loans do not indicate reckless spending, but a trend to borrow for building solid assets.

Another good news is that the outstanding loans on credit cards account for only Rs.8,405/-crores - merely 3% of the total retail outstanding.
etc....

Unfortunately, the article does not explain the implications of the more than 22-fold growth of "personal loans" - from Rs.5,288/-crores to Rs.1,20,120/-crores, which account for more than 45% of loans taken by the Indians.

Times sure have changed... a couple of decades back, being in debt was a social stigma. One saved, and then one spent/bought assets. Now, apparently, one buys and then pays... being in debt increases one's "credit worthiness". And if it is a mass phenomenon, then it is an indicator of "consumer confidence", a healthy symptom of a growing economy.

So, Does this mean that India is
-a booming economy?
or
-a nation in increasing debt?

An Un-Glamorous Public Protest in New Delhi

During last one month, New Delhi, the Indian capital has seen two public protests.

One which was extremely rang de basanti-type photogenic protest, and inspired the urban middle class imagination to join for the cause. It was about the acquital of the accused in the murder of a model in an up-market café. It was well-covered/ discussed in MSM and public for a - and brought the issue of justice the "common man" to the forefront.



But this post is about the other less-covered/discussed and less-glamorous public protest by those who are perhaps not even considered as "public" by those others who define themselves as public:



Here is what this protest is all about - The DID-Victims:

Economists, policy planners and politicians have this very deceptive term called "Development-Induced-Displacement" (DID).

It is deceptive since at its best, it seems to communicate that one is the beneficiary of development - and at its worst, that one is a martyr for a larger nobler cause (as is sometimes ambiguously mentioned - due to "compelling and overriding public interests")

What it actually means is being forcibly uprooted, losing one's livelihood, heritage and community to make way for someone else's development....

This issue is particularly relevant for India, where since independence the estimates of DID-victims ranges from 21mn to 40mn. In 1994 the Govt. of India admitted that 10 million people displaced by dams, mines, deforestation and other development projects were still "awaiting rehabilitation" (a figure that is considered as gross underestimation by most independent researchers).

Since I had played a very miniscule - but personally insightful and still, troubling - part in the "calculation" - for want of a better term - of the number of those needing rehabilitation about 2 decades back, I can vouch for the inaccuracies... That was My Road to Harsud... and contributed to such havocs in lives of people:


One of the major contributions to this "DID population" comes from the construction of large dams (which often blur the boundaries between a developmental project and man-made disasters). The UN World Commission on Dams concluded that large dams "produce benefits that accrue to groups other than those who bear the social and environmental costs".

India is the third largest dam-builder in the world, with about 3600 large dams and another 700 or so under construction.

However, this post is not even about building of a dam, but about raising the height of a dam - The Sardar Sarovar Dam - by about 10 meters - from 110.64m up to 121.92m, which will submerge an additional 220 villages - and 35,000 families - in the states of Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Maharashtra...

...and without any assurance of rehabilitation (Going by the past records, only about 10% of the total number of families, affected due to the Sardar Sarovar Dam, have been rehabilitated over the years...)

This decision was taken by the Narmada Control Authority in March '06 - in contravention to the decisions by the Narmada Water Disputes Tribunal Award and the Supreme Court order of October 2000 and March 2005, upholding the right of the DID-victims to land based rehabilitation 6 months prior to submergence.

This is a public protest to uphold justice given to citizens of India by its own Supreme Court - and yet, ironically, there will be no candle marches, TV interviews and debates, newspaper editorials to demand that the judgement be implemented.

So in case you are really interested to contribute your small - yet significant - bit, here is what you can do:

- sign a petition
http://petitions.aidindia.org/narmada/

- join them at Jantar Mantar, New Delhi
http://www.narmada.org/nba-press-releases/march-2006/hunger.html

- send mails/fax to the officials/politicians given in this list:
http://www.narmada.org/campaigns/govt.contacts.html

...and just in case, you are not aware of what this is all about, here is a backgrounder:
The Greater Common Good

Sources:
Development-induced displacement: internal affair or international human rights issue?
Non-violent struggles are being ignored
Global Overview of DID
Large Dams and Displacement in India
Road to Harsud

The MBA Menace

B-School Campus Placement "Season" is over, Convocations are happening, and suddenly in the next couple of months, a few thousands of MBAs will spread out across companies and country to "manage" things as varied as people, products, machines, money, markets, etc.

About two years back, Henry Mintzberg had written this slightly strongly-worded article about the MBA Menace. I am sure not many will agree with him, but there is a grain of truth in what he is saying...

...I mean, if you are an MBA, about to join your first job, just think about it: how much do you really know about the company, its products/ services and the industry that you are going to join?

Read on, anyway...

Dear new MBA:

Congratulations! You have a sparkling new degree, highly prized in this world. You have learned a great many things about business. You have invested two years of your life, not to mention lost wages and a small fortune in tuition, in this impressive undertaking. As a result, you are fully qualified to go out and become a menace to society.

Granted, this isn't fully the fault of your school. Nothing personal, but full-time MBA programs by their nature attract many of the wrong people - too impatient and analytical, with little experience in management itself. These may be fine traits for students, but they can be tragically ill-suited for managers.

Conventional MBA programs then compound the error by giving the wrong impression of management: that managers are important people disconnected from the daily work of making products and producing services; that managing is largely about decision making through analysis; that managers pronounce deliberate strategies for everyone else to implement; and worst of all, that by sitting still in a classroom for a couple of years, you are now ready to manage anything.

Sure, you've taken courses called "management" and "strategy." But these were about looking in from the outside. The truth is, no one can become a manager in a classroom. Management is not a profession, nor is it science. It is a practice that depends mostly on craft and significantly on art. Craft is learned by experience. Art can, of course, be admired in a classroom - think of all the visionaries you read about in cases. But voyeurism is not management, either, nor does it develop creativity.

Take the case study. Now that is the "real world." Everyone debating what the CEO of XYZ Corporation should do next. Heady stuff. But what did you really know about XYZ? Did you even hear of it before you spent an hour on the case? Is that how we should be training our leaders: to read a few pages and then pronounce a future?

Sure, it's great to expose people to the experiences of others. Cases can do that well. But only for people who have had sufficient experience of their own - and then only to appreciate other situations, not to pronounce on them with the most superficial of knowledge.

Imagine dropping a young MBA student into a classroom of experienced managers. So long as the class sticks to theory and technique, the student would be fine. But as soon as the discussion turns to application, the student would be lost. In this respect, a classroom of such students is always lost. Organizations are complex phenomena. Managing them is a difficult, nuanced business, requiring tacit understanding that can only be gained in context. Trying to teach it to people who have never practiced it is worse than a waste of time - it demeans management.

So there it is: You've invested all this time and money... What are you to do now? Well, there is hope. You probably did learn a lot about business, and that's important - if you go into business. (Please stay out of government and the social sector; they have enough troubles.) If you are truly interested in management, as opposed to just fame or money, you may be ready to learn its practice. Find an industry you like, get a good job, and stick with it. The world doesn't need more case-study managers who flit from one industry to another. Prove yourself, and eventually you'll be tapped for a managerial position. That is when your management education will begin. Prepare then to learn about management. Live it. Experience it...

....The world desperately needs dedicated leaders. Not heroes on some kind of fast track, but decent human beings who engage themselves and others substantially. That could be you - if you can get past your MBA.

The Sensitization Challenge

One keeps on questioning one's motives...

For example, does it really make much of a difference writing about "poverty", "invisible India", "income divide" etc., in a forum that consists of a few handful million people in country of 1bn - who have access to the internet, and who read/write blogs...

To be more specific, does it change anything really?

I stumbled upon this interesting observation/ taxonomy - about Educating the Educated - from someone, who is "really" involved in these issues.

Here are the excerpts from the The Sensitization Challenge:

...."Voluntarism can also be termed as a study of attitudes. While there is much ado about the need of volunteering people's time and efforts towards social causes and societal development, we have in the past seen the percentage of responsiveness, indicating scope for change.

"25% aren?t even interested to know anything beyond their nose. For example - any person untouched by happenings beside him/her!

Out of the balance 75%,

- 40% are information seekers to wet their souls. They are overwhelmed listening to social issues and talk a lot about them, nothing beyond. For example, retired persons, especially from the Government, housewives and some academicians!

- another 30% would like to involve in " known" organizations, have elements of doubt and limitations of thought beyond "feeding" or helping ORPHANS! They eulogize the Sacrificers of Lives (demigods who run "charitable" organizations), visit these places and are satisfied with the beaming smiles from the "beneficiaries" and go back, hearts full. For example, individual donors.

- 20% progress to give time due to internally driven or externally driven motives, and study projects and their progress and support organizations and causes that fall in line with their thoughts. For example, funding organizations, Lions, Rotarians and their likes).

- 5 to 8 % are more keen, they start organizations themselves - a group of them, for instance, to promote and advocate a cause. They involve greater time, but in isolation work independently to cause pockets of change, with replicable programs and very little interfacing with Governmental or other Service Providing Agencies. For example youth groups, bank employees, corporate staff groups)

- Less than 2% feel the need for interdependency and networking. They understand the dynamics of social change and the possibility to work in tandem with existing systems. They are motivated when they hear about problems, and work within their area of control and influence to bring about model systems of interdependency in their community, tapping local resources, and utilizing it to develop their community with an idea of sustaining the growth, without "patronizing" and increasing the dependency factor. For example local leaders, Facilitating Organizations and individuals).

Yes, I can figure out that I belong to the "40% of the 75%"...

What about you!!??

Celebrating the "Catastrophic Success" in Iraq

The Iraq War was - and has been - in the words of those who prosecuted it, a "catastrophic success."

on the eve of the 3rd Anniversary of the Operation Iraqi Liberation, it is worth remembering the speech that the US President had made, while initiating the invasion:

"We are going to ignore the United Nations in order to make clear to Saddam Hussein that the United Nations cannot be ignored. We're going to wage war to preserve the UN's ability to avert war. The paramount principle is that the UN's word must be taken seriously, and if we have to subvert its word to guarantee that it is, then by gum, we will. Peace is too important not to take up arms to defend...

Further, if the only way to bring democracy to Iraq is to vitiate the democracy of the Security Council, then we are honor-bound to do that too, because democracy, as we define it, is too important to be stopped by a little thing like democracy as they define it.

Also, in dealing with a man who brooks no dissension at home, we cannot afford dissension among ourselves. We must speak with one voice against Saddam Hussein's failure to allow opposing voices to be heard. We are sending our gathered might to the Persian Gulf to make the point that might does not make right, as Saddam Hussein seems to think it does. And we are twisting the arms of the opposition until it agrees to let us oust a regime that twists the arms of the opposition. We cannot leave in power a dictator who ignores his own people. And if our people, and people elsewhere in the world, fail to understand that, then we have no choice but to ignore them..."

of course, GW Bush never made such a speech!!!... but this, in essence, was the "logic"
- of the "shock and Awe",
- of deaths of tens of thousands of liberated iraqis,
- of invisible body-bags,
- of Abu Ghraib,
- of torture and abuse,
- of massive corruption by the occupiers,
- of squeezing one's pound of flesh,
- of holding a populace hostage,
...of spending $1trillion to demolish a country with a GDP of less than $40bn, etc. etc.)

War as Photo-Ops

War, as some may have noticed, has lately become a booming entertainment industry, a part of "reality TV".

Here is one example - View the Photo-Essay - and how it failed on the box-office):

When the Operation Swarmer was launched jointly by the US-Iraqi forces on March 16th ("to clear a suspected insurgent operating area northeast of Samarra", Iraq), it was "billed" as the "largest airbourne operation since 2003". The star attraction was the scale: 50 aircrafts, 1,500 troops, 200 tactical vehicles (and hordes of "embedded" journalists and camera crew).

The target population (not of the operation, but of the viewers) was clearly defined. As one observer noted: "It's a boost here at the home front because it shows American forces being proactive and it shows us using high technology - which we like - instead of getting blown up in humvees - which we don't like. It was good television, and it's been a while since we've seen good television coming out of Iraq."

Another said: "The timing may be based on demonstrating to the bad guys in part but also to the Iraqi elected officials - who are having a hard time making a government - that the U.S. is still there, is going to carry out operations and is going to try and create stability."

White House spokesman Scott McClellan described this operation as just one of a series of offensives aimed at defeating the insurgency: "There have been a number of operations that have been undertaken over the course of the last several months to really go after the terrorists, and the Saddam loyalists, who want to return to the past of oppression and tyranny. So this operation is part of our ongoing efforts to move forward on the security front."

No wonder, virtually all media channels were intimated and covered this high-profile event.

However, what actually happened was an anti-climax - a pretty bad script after so much media hype:

"Four Black Hawk helicopters landed in a wheat field and dropped off a television crew, three photographers, three print reporters and three Iraqi government officials right into the middle of Operation Swarmer. Iraqi soldiers in newly painted humvees, green and red Iraqi flags stenciled on the tailgates, had just finished searching the farm populated by a half-dozen skinny cows and a woman kneading freshly risen dough and slapping it to the walls of a mud oven.

The press, flown in from Baghdad to this agricultural gridiron northeast of Samarra, huddled around the Iraqi officials and U.S. Army commanders who explained that the "largest air assault since 2003" in Iraq using over 50 helicopters to put 1500 Iraqi and U.S. troops on the ground had netted 48 suspected insurgents, 17 of which had already been cleared and released. The area, explained the officials, has long been suspected of being used as a base for insurgents operating in and around Samarra, the city north of Baghdad where the bombing of a sacred shrine recently sparked a wave of sectarian violence.

But contrary to what many many television networks erroneously reported...there were no airstrikes and no leading insurgents were nabbed... What’s more, there were no shots fired at all and the units had met no resistance, said the U.S. and Iraqi commanders.

...Before loading up into the helicopters for a return trip to Baghdad, Iraqi and American soldiers and some reporters helped themselves to the woman’s freshly baked bread, tearing bits off and chewing it as they wandered among the cows. For most of them, it was the only thing worthwhile they’d found all day."

...er, if one may add: They also did not find any WMDs!!!

Moral of the Story: Next time you view the promo of an up-coming war (e.g., a speech by some world-leader), be sure who scripted it.
:0)

How to Increase GDP: Learning from Indian Budget

Last week, during the Budget Session, the Indian Finance Minister, Mr P Chidambaram, announced that the Indian GDP registered a growth of 7.5% during 2004-05, and is likely to grow at the rate of 8.1% during 2005-06.

This was a great news!!! - The Sensex jumped beyond 10,000 mark, the analysts commented on how India is (almost) catching up with China, Indian media had a hay-day with headlines, and the captains of Indian industry (self)-congratulated the government (since the gap between govt and industry is decreasing)....

In any case, to learn how one can sustain this kind of growth rate - in fact, to move to a growth rate of 10% - one must look at how we achived this.

For instance:

The government shifted the base year for calculating the GDP growth from 1993-94 to 1999-2000. This increased the GDP growth from 6.9% to 7.5%.

The weightage of certain fast-growing sectors in calculating the GDP was increased (e.g., for trade, hotels and restaurants, it was increased from 14 to 14.2; for finance, insurance, real estate and business services from 12.5 to 13, etc.)

New economic activities from the unorganised sector (e.g., milk production from camel, goat and buffalo; production of toddy and betel leaf; production of salt from sea water evaporation, meat production from unregistered slaughter houses, etc.) were included in calculating the GDP for the first time.

etc.

As the FM said that "I believe that growth is the best antidote to poverty."... we have fianlly found a quick and sure formula for economic growth and eradication of poverty!!!!

Er... lest one feels that there is anything exceptional and "wrong" about such "creative accounting", let us also have a look at how India's agricultural GDP showed a 9.1% growth during 2003-04 (i.e., when India was "shining";0):

In 2003-04, India produced 212mn tonnes foodgrains. This was a great jump from 2002-03, when the foodgrain production was 174.2mn tonnes, and a cause to celebrate.... till one noticed that actually, 02-03 was a bad year due to monsoons and that India had produced 212mn tonnes of foodgrain in 2001-02 as well!!!

For more such "economic miracles", have a look at:
A World Deceived By "Numbers/ Facts"
Governments as "Enrons"
The Real "Miracle" of Chinese FDI Figures
FDI: China and India - Just a Difference in Definition!!!